#Bitcoin Daily Analysis #20 — Daily BTC Market Update
Taking longs here without confirmation = controlled gambling.
Welcome to My Analysis
Are you ready for Christmas?
Good day 🌲
Today’s analysis isn’t very different from yesterday’s,
but let’s take another look together
1️⃣ Market Structure – Has the trend changed?
If we look at structure,
the story is still the same:
Highs are still Lower Highs
The recent drop was a weak break of the low that didn’t follow through
The current bounce looks more like a pullback inside a bearish structure
📌
The market is not bullish yet.
What we’re seeing is not a real reversal —
it’s just a temporary escape from the drop.
2️⃣ Where is price right now? (Very important)
Current price is:
Below SMA58 (~89,200)
Below SMA99 (~89,236)
Near SMA28 (~88,078)
What does this mean?
Price is stuck right under a wall of moving averages.
Every time price tries to move higher:
→ it hits the MAs
→ selling pressure appears
→ price gets pushed back down
3️⃣ Price Action – What is the market saying?
Looking at the candles:
Multiple attempts to move higher
All of them failed
Upper wicks show active sellers
Pullbacks are fast and lack follow-through
📌 What this behavior means:
The market isn’t trying to build a trend.
It’s more focused on liquidity collection.
4️⃣ Volume – Where is the money?
Simple reality:
The previous drop came with volume
This bounce has no volume
📌
This upward move still lacks validity.
Final Summary (no sugarcoating)
❌ No bullish trend
❌ No reversal confirmation
✔️ Heavy MA resistance overhead
✔️ Bearish scenario is still alive
📌 This phase:
The worst environment for emotional trading and the best environment for patience.
⚠️ Risk Alert ⚠️
Futures are not beginner-friendly. These triggers require solid experience.
Before using them, study risk management and practice with the learning content here.

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